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Madhya Pradesh Bypoll Results in 2020: The result is unlikely to affect the Shivraj Singh Chouhan government; the Congress must win all 28 to even think about challenging the BJP

The BJP, powered by ex-Congressman Jyotiraditya Scindia, took a lead in the Madhya Pradesh by-polls as votes were counted in 56 assemblies (and one Lok Sabha) seats across a dozen states.

The challenges in Madhya Pradesh and Uttar Pradesh are the most retaining. A large portion of the empty seats is in Madhya Pradesh, where the outcome will be seen by numerous individuals as a remark on Jyotiraditya Scindia and the clout he may (or may not) use since he quit the Congress in March and traversed to the BJP. Seven seats will be topped in Off, with the one held by the BJP’s Kuldeep Singh Sengar the feature; it fell empty after he was sentenced in the Unnao assault case in December a year ago. Different states where by-polls were held – on November 3 – incorporate Karnataka, Gujarat, Odisha, and Telangana. Bypolls for seats in Manipur and a Lok Sabha voting public in Bihar were held on November 7. All decisions occurred in the midst of severe limitations because of the COVID-19 pandemic.

1. The BJP was leading in 17 seats and the Congress in nine in Madhya Pradesh, according to the Election Commission information today. The 28 seats in Madhya Pradesh fell vacant following Jyotiraditya Scindia’s crossover in March, which triggered the fall of the Kamal Nath government and the return of the BJP. He will be expected to ensure the MLAs who resigned to support him being re-elected. 16 of these seats are from the Gwalior and Chambal regions of the state, which are widely regarded as strongholds of the Scindia family. The big story during campaigning was Kamal Nath’s “item” remark about a former Congress minister. The Election Commission removed him as a “star campaigner” but the Supreme Court put that order on hold.
2. The BJP was leading in both Dumka and Bermo assembly seats in Jharkhand, according to early trends. The BJP’s Lois Marandi was leading over his nearest rival Basant Soren of Jharkhand Mukti Morcha (JMM) by over 7,938 votes in the Dumka seat. In the Bermo Assembly constituency, the BJP’s Yogeshwar Mahto “Batul” was leading over his nearest rival Kumar Jaimangal (Anup Singh) of the Indian National Congress by 455 votes.
3. The BJP was leading in four seats and trailing in two others as the counting of votes polled in seven Uttar Pradesh Assembly seats progressed on Tuesday. Of the seven seats, the BJP, which held six, is leading in four, while Samajwadi Party, the Bahujan Samaj Party, and Independent candidates in one each by margins varying from 1,000 to 2,000 votes, according to PTI. The BJP’s Usha Sirohi is leading in Bulandshahr, while Prem Pal Dhangar is leading from Tundla, Shrikant Katiyar from Bangarmau, and Satya Prakash Mani Tripathi from Deoria. The SP’s Javed Abbas is leading from Naugawan Sadat and the BSP’s Kuldeep Shankhwar from Ghatampur. Independent Dhananjay Singh is leading from Malhani seat.
4. In UP the Samajwadi Party has accused the BJP of fraud and rigging the election. SP chief Akhilesh Yadav told news agency PTI that the Yogi Adityanath government had “made an arrangement so people could not exercise their votes”. However, Mr. Yadav declined to give specifics. He said he would provide “detailed information” after the results were declared. Yogi Adityanath, criticized for a poor track record on women’s safety, spoke about “love jihad” while campaigning and issued a thinly-veiled threat of violence.
5. In both the assembly seats in Karnataka, Sira of Tumakur district, and Rajarajeshwari Nagar in Bengaluru, the BJP was leading, according to the latest reports this morning. In the latter, the party’s lead extended by up to 20,000 votes. In terms of numbers, the results of RR Nagar and Sira will make little difference to the stability of the Karnataka government, given the numbers of the BJP in the House.
6. The Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) is leading on seven of the eight Assembly seats which went to by-polls in Gujarat, as per the latest trends of the Election Commission of India. The party has recorded a 53.13 percent vote share till 10:30 am on Tuesday, while the Congress’s stood at 35.1 percent. The by-polls were held after the sitting Congress MLAs resigned ahead of the Rajya Sabha elections in June. Five of them later joined the BJP and are contesting the by-polls on the party’s ticket.
7. The ruling BJD candidates have established early leads over their nearest BJP rivals in both Balasore and Tirtol assembly constituencies in Odisha, where counting of votes polled in the byelections held last week was in progress on Tuesday. BJD’s Bijay Shankar Das was leading over BJP’s Rajkishore Behera by 1,078 votes in Tirtol seat in Jagatsinghpur district, according to PTI reports. In Balasore, BJD candidate Swarup Kumar Das was leading over his nearest BJP nominee Manas Kumar Dutta by 615 votes.
8. In Chattisgarh’s Marwahi seat, Congress contestant, Dr. KK Dhruw, was leading by a margin of 3,664 votes over rival Dr. Gambheer Singh of the BJP. The seat, reserved for Scheduled Tribes (ST) candidates, fell vacant after the death of former Chief Minister Ajit Jogi.
9. Independent candidates were leading in Nagaland’s by-polls to the Southern Angami I and Pungro Kiphire seats, early trends showed. Seyievilie Peter Zashumo was leading over his nearest rival Medo Yhokha of the Nationalist Democratic Progressive Party (NDPP) by 922 votes in Southern Angami I. In Pungro Kiphire, T Yangsea Sangtam was leading over his nearest rival and BJP nominee Lirimong Sangtam by 1,161 votes. The by-elections were held in these two seats following the death of sitting legislators Vikho-o Yhoshu and T Torechu, respectively.
10. The ruling BJP in Manipur was ahead in two seats while the Congress and an Independent candidate were leading in one constituency each for which by-polls were held on November 7. The by-polls held on November 7 were necessitated after Congress MLAs of these four seats resigned from the assembly and joined the ruling BJP. The ruling BJP has contested in three seats and supported an independent candidate in Lilong, while the Congress has fielded its nominees in all four constituencies.